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This article first appeared
in the 25 September 2005 edition of The Sunday Business Post
and is reproduced here with their kind permission.
The
threat by Ayman al-Zawahiri, Osama bin Laden's second-in-command,
that terrorists will continue to target London has serious
implications for Britain and Ireland.
If we assume, however, that London - and the west - is being
threatened by Islam, Islamic fundamentalists or Islamism (Islam
in political mode), we play directly into al-Qaeda's hands.
Islam is not monolithic. It fractured bloodily after the death
of the prophet Muhammad and since then, there has been significant
conflict within Islam in general, and between the Sunni and the
Shi'ite traditions in particular.
There are many other differences within Islam at regional, national
and local levels.
In every century since the death of Muhammad, more Muslims have
been killed by fellow Muslims than by any external enemy.
Islam is in many respects a democratic religion. This has disadvantages:
bin Laden is as entitled to issue fatwas within the Islamic religion
as a Catholic is to issue encyclicals, but there is no pope or
centre of authority within Islam who can proclaim him a heretic.
Al-Qaeda has emerged from the Sunni tradition of Islam and perverted
many of its core concepts. Many of its key targets are actually
within Islam itself - firstly, members of the Sunni majority
who do not agree with it and secondly, Islamic minorities.
Al-Qaeda considers the Shi'ites, the biggest Muslim minority,
to be “apostates'‘ and “the most evil creatures
under the sun'‘. The Iraqi al-Qaedaist, Abu Musab al-Zarqawi,
has described the Shi'ites in Iraq as “the unsurmountable
obstacle, the lurking snake, the crafty and malicious scorpion,
the spying enemy and the penetrating venom'‘.
The many sectarian attacks on Shi'ites in Iraq have shown that
this is not just talk. Nor is it new. When the Taliban captured
the city of Mazar-i-Sharif in Afghanistan in 1998, they gave
the Shi'ites there three choices: convert to their brand of Sunni
Islam, emigrate to Iran or die.
Independent reports show that almost 2,000 Shi'ites died in
the subsequent massacre.
This is not an Islamic war on the west. This is a war by a tiny
vanguard on Islam itself. In reality, they despise true Islam
in all its glorious tradition.
It is also an error to see it as an attack by Islamic fundamentalists.
Islamic fundamentalists divide initially into two broad groups:
those from the Sunni tradition and those from the Shi'ite tradition.
Clearly, Shi'ite fundamentalists who are a target of this al-Qaeda
attack are not part of any war against the west. However, even
most Sunni fundamentalists do not believe in violence.
Of the minority who do believe in violence, this is usually
social violence, when they attempt to force others to dress,
act or live in a particular fashion. Such violence is not a threat
to the world. Only a tiny minority of Islamic fundamentalists
are al-Qaedaists.
The final and most subtle misconception is that this is an attack
by Islamism. Unfortunately, most experts and commentators fall
into this trap.
Islamism - Islam in political mode - can produce very different
outcomes, from the al-Qaedaist outcome atone extreme (the best
example being the Taliban regime in Afghanistan) to democratic
governments including those in Turkey and Indonesia.
If we focus on Islam in political mode as being a problem or
a threat to the west, we jeopardise what may be the most effective
way to solve this problem. It is widely accepted that a key issue
politically in the Islamic world over the next few decades will
be the expression of Islamic beliefs in the political system.
There is a significant rage and sense of grievance in many in
the Islamic world at present. Whether western governments like
it or not and whether it is well founded or not, such grievances
have to be expressed.
They can be expressed through the democratic process, but, failing
that, they may emerge through the outrages of al-Qaeda. It will
take time and effort, but the key to solving this long-term problem
is for Muslims to be able to address their grievances in a proper,
democratic fashion rather than through the terrorist violence
of al-Qaeda.
Many westerners fear Islam in political mode and the actual
and potential conflict between religion and democracy. However,
we should recall the opposition of the Catholic Church in Europe
in the 19th century to the development of democratic institutions.
That resistance was eventually eliminated through the creation
of political parties with theological agendas: Christian Democratic
parties.
A similar process, with its own characteristics obviously, will
be needed over the coming decades in the Islamic world, to achieve
a similar outcome.
Richard Whelan's book Al-Qaedaism: The Threat to Islam, The
Threat to the World, will be published by Ashfield Press this
Friday [30 September 2005].
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