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This article first appeared
in the 4 October 2005 edition of The Irish Times and is reproduced
here with their kind permission.
Al-Qaedaism poses a unique threat requiring a series
of responses, including a Marshall Plan aimed at helping Muslim
states, writes
Richard Whelan.
Do the arrest and extradition of a fourth suspect in the July
London bombings, the jailing of a Syrian in Madrid for organising
terrorism in connection with the 9/11 bombings, the excruciating
delays caused by increased security in airports, all mean that
we are taking effective measures against al-Qaeda?
No. The measures
we have been taking are essential but as the Bali attack shows,
on their own they cannot be effective. The
weekend suicide bomb attacks on Bali amount to very effective
terrorism by members of the greater al-Qaeda family. The three
bombs, which killed at least 19 people, dealt a crushing blow
to the island's tourist economy, faltering since the 2002 attacks
in which more than 200 people died.
In addition to hurting Indonesia,
seen as an apostate Muslim state for its democratic system, the
Australian and Japanese
visitors, seen as part of the hated West, and the local Hindu
villagers also seen as enemies, are "legitimate" targets.
Not bad for the price of instant admission to paradise.
Al-Qaeda
is a threat to us all and is unique for four reasons. The first
is that it is not just a terrorist threat. It is a
belief system, a movement, which sees conspiracies everywhere,
particularly by the West, starting with the Crusades over 1,000
years ago and continuing up to the present.
The unique element
of "al-Qaedaism" is the unfortunate
fact that many of the young men who act under this belief system
think they are acting out the wishes of God, and that when following
the orders of their leaders, they are following the instructions
of God. Adding this religious justification to their "me
generation" attitudes produces a lethal cocktail where the
death of innocent civilians and of the alienated terrorist is
actually seen by them as an act of homage to God.
The second
reason why this is a unique challenge is al-Qaeda's desire to
cause mass casualties. Al-Qaeda spokesman Suleiman
Abu Ghaith has said: "We have not reached parity with them.
We have the right to kill four million Americans - two million
of them children - and to exile twice as many and wound and cripple
hundreds of thousands.
"Furthermore, it is our right to fight them with chemical
and biological weapons in order to inflict them with the fatal
maladies
that have afflicted the Muslims because of the [ US] chemical
and biological weapons."
This threat is not just to Americans.
The twin attacks in 1998 in Kenya and Tanzania killed 224, of
whom 12 were American; and
wounded 4,574, of whom 15 were American. The vast majority of
those killed and injured were Africans - many of them Muslims.
Most terrorist campaigns carefully avoid causing mass casualties
to avoid the loss of support for their objectives. Not so al-Qaeda.
The strategy promoted on its websites and used is guerrilla warfare
targeted directly against civilians. This is on the understanding
that mass casualties will eventually force the West to withdraw
from all Islamic lands. To inflict such mass casualties, al-Qaeda
spokesmen have repeatedly stated their desire to obtain weapons
of mass destruction - particularly nuclear and biological weapons.
In October 2004 it was reported that Osama bin Laden had sought
religious justification from a senior Saudi Arabian theologian
for mass casualty attacks. This resulted in the publication of
a fatwa called "Rules for the Use of WMD Against the Infidels" by
Sheikh Nasser bin Hamad al-Fahd. We may think this is crazy but
they are serious in their intention and tactically very astute.
The third reason why this threat is unique is that the demands
of al-Qaeda are non-negotiable. How could European governments
negotiate for the return of what the al-Qaeda considers occupied
territory in Al- Andalus in Spain, southern France up to the
Loire, the south of Italy and significant parts of eastern Europe.
Nor would anyone countenance the addition of those parts of Europe
to all the existing Islamic states to turn it into one great
Sunni Islamic Caliphate.
Negotiating with people who believe
that democracy is an evil ideology, that the separation of church
and state is a form of
mental illness and that most women's, human, civil and other
rights are an affront to God is an impossibility. The historic
examples of the Taliban regime in Afghanistan and the GIA-controlled
areas in Algeria show that their beliefs differ fundamentally
from ours. In both countries al-Qaeda considered capital punishment
appropriate for even visiting the hairdresser or reading national
newspapers.
The fourth reason why this threat is unique is the
difficulty of identifying where it comes from. The September
11th hijackers
were in the main well educated, familiar with Europe and middle
to upper class. French authorities now monitor three groups very
closely - Muslims in the French penal system, those newly converted
to Islam and those radicalised by Iraq or Afghanistan. In Britain,
the latest significant recruiting ground is the universities.
These young men can come from any background, class or social
milieu, making their identification in advance almost impossible
and making over-reaction, with all its negative consequences,
likely.
The appropriate reaction to this threat must deal with
these unique features.
A key factor in that reaction is to ensure
that we do not fall into the al-Qaeda trap. It has deliberately
structured its campaign
to try to provoke a clash of civilisations. Only with such a
clash between Islam and the West will al-Qaeda succeed in hijacking
Islam for its own ends - despotic power.
In every century since
the death of the prophet Muhammad, more Muslims have been killed
at the hands of fellow Muslims than
by any external enemy. Al-Qaedaism is simply the most serious
such threat and one that is not recognised as such.
Our response
should be a mixture of hard and soft power. Hard power to defeat
and demobilise militant jihadists but, more importantly,
soft power focused on winning the hearts and minds of the worldwide
Muslim community - the umma.
This will require a comprehensive
programme including political control on globalisation, a Marshall
Plan focused on Muslim states
and encouragement over the next two decades of the expression
of Muslim hopes and grievances in a democratic fashion.
It will
also include negotiating with militant members of al-Qaeda outside
the original core group itself. These comprise about
90 per cent of the militant activists and are mainly energised
by regional/national issues - not "Jewish Crusader conspiracies".
Bin Laden convinced them to focus on the international struggle.
Reversing that by solving local and national grievances would
be a major victory.
The world must help Islam to defeat this
cancer within itself. If the world reacts as though this is a
threat from Islam, rather
than from a self-confessed tiny minority of power-hungry fanatics
who actually detest true Islam in all its traditional glory,
Osama bin Laden will be well on his way to victory.
Richard Whelan
is the author of Al-Qaedaism: The Threat to Islam, The Threat
to the World (Ashfield Press).
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